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Stat667    Syllabus    Spring 2008

Textbook

Applied Probability Models by D.L. Minh, ISBN 0-534-38157-X  and classnotes.

Homeworks

Homework problems will be assigned regularly during the class sessions. You will be asked to hand in all problems. The instructor reserves the right to select problem(s) to turn in. Please observe the following rules for homework:

You are encouraged to discuss homework problems in general with your classmates. However, each homework turned in should be entirely your own work.

Project

There will be a project (due date: April 7). The following rules apply:

1. For the projects, you are allowed (but not mandatory) to form a team of up to two team members.
2. The project reports should be typesetted by word processer such as WordPerfect, LaTeX, etc., and in letter-size (8½in×11in) papers. Each report should have a cover page with title and name (or names of the team members) on it. It should contain a table of contents, main body, and appendices. The main body of a report should be divided in sections and be started with an introduction section and be ended with a summary section. Place only up to 3 key tables and up to 3 key graphs (a figure with multi-panels is considered only 1 graph) in the main body. Other relevant tables/graphs should be placed in the appendices. A minimum of 5 main-body pages is required for the project report.

Grading

2 midterms	final exam	project	homework
(15% each)	20%	10%	40%

Grading Scale

0-49	50-55	56-60	61-67	68-72	73-82	83-90	91-100
E	D	DC	C	CB	B	BA	A

Incomplete Grades

University & Deparmental policy will be followed for incomplete grades.

Academic Integrity

You are responsible for making yourself aware of and understanding the policies and procedures in the Undergraduate and Graduate Catalogs that pertain to Academic Honesty. These policies include cheating, fabrication, falsification and forgery, multiple submission, plagiarism, complicity and computer misuse. [The policies can be found at www.wmich.edu/catalog under Academic Policies, Student Rights and Responsibilities.] If there is reason to believe you have been involved in academic dishonesty, you will be referred to the Office of Student Conduct. You will be given the opportunity to review the charge(s). If you believe you are not responsible, you will have the opportunity for a hearing. You should consult with me if you are uncertain about an issue of academic honesty prior to the submission of an assignment or test.

Tentative Topics

• Review of probability theory and models. A special technique will be introduced, namely, conditional arguments.
• Discrete-time Markov chains including introduction, classification of states, absorbing chains, nonabsorbing chains, finite chains, infinite chains.
• Continuous-time chains: Poison processes, regenerative processes.
• Semi-Markov chains.

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Use of Email:
The only email address that should be used for communication between WMU students and WMU faculty and staff is the email address associated with a BroncoNet ID.  This email address typically takes the form "firstname.middleinitial.lastname@wmich.edu."  An example is buster.h.bronco@wmich.edu.  Students cannot automatically forward email from this address to other addresses.  Students can access this email account or get instructions for obtaining a BroncoNet ID at GoWMU.wmich.edu.

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2008-02-25